Viktor Kevlyuk

Expert at Centre for Defence Strategies

Публикации автора
  • To export or to ban: a strategic dilemma
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    The choice today is whether Ukraine becomes a defence technology hub, or remains a testing ground where innovations are proven before being scaled up and sold abroad. 
  • Middle East in flames: what major US Israel war against Iran means for Ukraine
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    A swift defeat of the Iranian regime and a demonstration of Russia’s inability to aid yet another ally — following the collapse of Bashar Assad and Nicolas Maduro — is in Ukraine’s interest.
  • Heat in the Small Sky
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Russia is scaling its unmanned systems to the level of a separate branch of service — 165,000 personnel, new regiments in every military district, and fibre-optic drones. We examine how the aggressor is preparing for an offensive campaign.
  • When will Russia be defeated?
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    About the three groups of factors that have led Russia to defeat in wars over the past two hundred years.
  • Ukraine’s air defence and the state of the sky: a forecast for 2026
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    In 2026, the enemy will be able to launch air strikes with two to three hundred UAVs per night, deploy six to nine hundred in massive strikes, and make two to three attempts to overload our air defence with super-attacks throughout the year…
  • Strike on submarine. Black Sea Fleet and Baba Parazka
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Over the course of the full-scale war, the enemy fleet has lost 29% of its capability to conduct missile strikes against land targets and 54% of its amphibious assault capability. On the Ukrainian side, zero ships were employed.
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  • Oreshnik one year on
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    We recall last year's strike by an intercontinental medium-range ballistic missile on the Dnipro.
  • The situation in the Zaporizhzhya Region: more complex and perilous than near Pokrovsk
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    The tactical advances demonstrated by the enemy are bad for the Defence Forces, which cannot stop the enemy and stabilise the situation.
  • The anxious winter of 2026
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Thanks to the efforts of energy and heating companies, Ukraine got through the winter of 2024–2025 without any serious blackouts, but the winter of 2026 will be extremely difficult.
  • Battle for the small sky
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    In the new world of war, where the sky above the tactical zone belongs to drones, victory is determined not only by strength, but also by the skill of those who control the winged hunters. 
  • Burluk Triangle
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Velykyy Burluk lies at the center of a triangle (Vovchansk–Dvorichna–Milove), where enemy activity has intensified amid lingering trauma from its 2022 Kharkiv–Izyum defeat.
  • Transformation of Ukraine’s military doctrine lags behind Russia’s strategic planning
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    The Russian military command is making considerable efforts to build up its operational capabilities and continue the game for a long time. 
  • Sumy in three days?
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Three Russian armies are fighting for Pokrovsk, two for Kupyansk. And it's not working. Near Sumy, which is far from Pokrovsk, there are up to two divisions, which is not even an army.
  • War Math: Six-Month 2025 review
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    Russia will try to achieve limited goals by the end of the year.
  • Malyuk and the Karlssons: Ukraine’s drones cripple Russian strategic bombers
    Viktor Kevlyuk
    On 1 June, the SBU conducted a successful special operation of enormous scale and complexity, targeting a key component of Russia’s nuclear triad – its strategic aviation – at home airfields.
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