Russia has consistently failed to achieve any of its strategic bombing goals.
In the first hours, they failed to take our air and air defence forces out of the game – as Israel often did in wars with the Arab Coalition, when dozens of aircraft were jammed on runways, destroying headquarters, communications, and control.
It’s interesting to read Russian military bloggers making fake excuses: “Everything was according to plan, it was just that later the insidious NATO supplied Ukraine with air defence systems and aircraft.”
You cretins are still being bombed by MiG-29s with the same tail numbers and liveries we saw before the war!
You have shot down several hundred aircraft with the lips of your defence ministers, and you are being bombed by post-Soviet interceptors with home-made bomb holders and the need to manually enter the coordinates of targets on the ground.
And the air defence, which has no analogues, is being breached by corn growers with FABs.
Psychotropics and hospitalisation are required here – believing in nonsense while watching Hammer and UAV hits with your own eyes is a diagnosis.
They failed to disrupt the mobilisation – unlike in Georgia, where reservists were dispersed with Tochka-U and bombs.
The strategic deployment of troops from the centre and west of the country was not disrupted – they were and are being freely deployed.
There were some unpleasant hits like Yavoriv, Desna, or training grounds, but in general, hundreds of thousands of people are being deployed in all directions.
The bridges across the Dnipro, the estuary or the Carpathian tunnels were not affected – Western aid, raw materials and equipment are being moved across the country without any problems.
They failed to hit the railway: traction substations, shunting stock, and repair facilities.
Did you think that the USSR ordered strikes on the Dresden marshalling yards with thousands of tonnes of bombs from the Allies in World War II because it could but did not want to?
It was not possible to disrupt the generation of electricity and heat – neither across the country as a whole, nor locally in problem areas.
There was an attempt to hit the defence industry – the result is on the scoreboard: our long-range drones over Engels and the only fibre optic plant in Saransk, many hundreds of kilometres away, in Crimea, are again clogging radars and MPADS.
The latest targets were gas – production and transportation. And now cities again.
The stockpile of post-Soviet missiles is now exhausted, with only current production remaining.
This is also under the pressure of our distant drones – strikes on solid fuel, explosives, military chemicals, and electronics factories are regular. Our strategy is worth a separate article, and the Defence Forces are hitting the bottlenecks quite well.
Plus the recent Engels strike – they destroyed a missile equipment shop and several months’ worth of supplies.
I still hear music in my ears when I recall the secondary detonations there – we were the first to occupy the territory of a country with nuclear weapons, and the first to take out the airfield of the nuclear triad forces with low-speed piston drones.
Now the Kremlin is in the same position as it was in the last third of the war in Afghanistan – it has scooped up the bottom of its stockpile, started using missiles with standard nuclear warheads, and is inventing targets to receive a rain of awards, combat and incentives.
But this did not change the reality then, and it will not change it now.
If earlier the Kremlin managed to strike two or three times a month, now it attacks once a month.
The strike on Kryvyy Rih is pure terror, and there are no censorious words for Russians writing about the meeting of NATO officers in a restaurant.
It was here, 70 kilometres from the front, in the longest city in Europe that cannot be covered by missile defence, that NATO officers decided to drink whisky in the afternoon. Not in Kyiv, not in Transcarpathian Region.
The aerial explosion of the Iskander’s shrapnel warhead on the restaurant is a war crime. The range of the munitions is up to 200 metres as standard. On any map, a nearby playground is clearly visible. Nine children were killed.
The attack on Kyiv at night and in the morning of 6 April is the same terror.
A wave of Shahes, as wide as possible – so that the entire agglomeration could hear and feel the intercepts, the work of air defence and mobile groups. Like in Dnipro, Sumy, and Cherkasy, the attack from a high altitude is at its peak – so that even when they were shot down, it would put pressure on the mental state of civilians and fall on their heads.
A salvo of Kalibr missiles from sea carriers.
X-101 launches from Tu-95s were carried out from several Regions at once to avoid interceptions by the air force and to squeeze in as much as possible.
Not at the same time – to saturate the air defence channels, hide behind false targets and overload the capabilities of our eyes, headquarters and communication lines. But to make the attack last as long as possible.
There were not many missiles, just over two dozen – the stockpile was still damaged, and we needed to make an inviolable stockpile and accumulate it for the next strategic campaign.
And at the end, a volley of ballistics – six Iskander-Ms, possibly North Korean copies. To cause explosions, interceptions, debris falling on the city, fires.
Terror is not about achieving some military goal, but about strangling with fear. One dead, several wounded, debris on the industrial estate and warehouses, and a business centre damaged for the second time – they are trying to get to us and hurt us economically, knowing that it is not certain the strike will have an economic impact.
But the main goal is terror. To force to negotiate, because nothing else can be done but terror.
There are rumours that, in addition to the fibre optic plant, our Fury and Beavers flew at one interesting facility in the Moscow Region. And that’s why there was a fire in the Kremlin’s trousers. We are waiting for satellite photos.
In the meantime, no Russian bombing campaign in Ukraine has ever achieved its goal, and this one will not either. Take care of yourselves – when Russian missiles are in the air, you need to be in shelters. And understand why Moscow is stretching out the attack, which is not the largest in terms of delivery means.