Russian long-range aviation has not struck Ukraine since 21 September, or for 21 days. This may indicate that the enemy is stockpiling missiles for attacks on critical infrastructure in winter. This was reported by the British Ministry of Defence with reference to intelligence data.
At the same time, it is noted that such breaks are not unusual. The last such break lasted from 9 March to 28 April, or 51 days. It is likely that in this case, the long-range aviation almost exhausted its stocks of ammunition for X-23 missiles (or AS-23 in NATO classification) after the winter campaign to destroy Ukraine's critical infrastructure.
"This time, it is likely that Russian long-range aviation is preserving its existing stockpile of AS-23 missiles and is also using the pause to increase its ammunition stockpile ahead of new powerful strikes against Ukraine in the winter," the report says.
Recently, Russia has concentrated air strikes on grain farming facilities in southern Ukraine, using Shahed drones.